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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 43.01%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Luton Town |
43.01% | 28.98% | 28% |
Both teams to score 42.97% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.78% | 63.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.38% | 82.62% |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.8% | 29.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.86% | 65.14% |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.69% | 39.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.99% | 76.01% |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 14.12% 2-0 @ 8.7% 2-1 @ 8.12% 3-0 @ 3.57% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.1% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.48% Total : 43% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 11.47% 2-2 @ 3.79% Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.97% | 0-1 @ 10.71% 1-2 @ 6.16% 0-2 @ 5% 1-3 @ 1.92% 0-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.47% Total : 28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leicester CityLeicester | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 33 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 28 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 22 |
4 | Preston North EndPreston | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 21 |
5 | Southampton | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
6 | Sunderland | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 19 |
7 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Bristol City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 17 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 17 |
11 | Hull City | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 17 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 17 |
13 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
14 | Millwall | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 16 |
15 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 15 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 15 |
18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 14 |
19 | Watford | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 13 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 13 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 12 |
22 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 8 |
23 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 6 |
24 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 3 |
> Championship Full Table |