Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 63.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Monza had a probability of 16.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Roma.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Monza |
63.15% (![]() | 20.37% (![]() | 16.48% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.69% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.2% (![]() | 41.79% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.8% (![]() | 64.2% (![]() |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.38% (![]() | 12.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.27% (![]() | 38.73% (![]() |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.44% (![]() | 38.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.69% (![]() | 75.3% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Monza |
2-0 @ 10.42% 1-0 @ 10.06% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.93% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.19% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.86% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.72% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.55% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.27% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.47% ( ![]() Other @ 3.43% Total : 63.14% | 1-1 @ 9.6% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.86% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.37% | 0-1 @ 4.64% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.57% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.5% 1-3 @ 1.45% ( ![]() Other @ 2.1% Total : 16.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |