

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Roma |
| 29.09% ( | 27.95% ( | 42.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.24% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.6% ( | 59.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.22% ( | 79.77% ( |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.68% ( | 36.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.89% ( | 73.1% ( |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.61% ( | 27.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.14% ( | 62.86% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 10.07% ( 2-1 @ 6.61% ( 2-0 @ 5.1% ( 3-1 @ 2.23% ( 3-0 @ 1.72% ( 3-2 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 1.91% Total : 29.08% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0-0 @ 9.95% ( 2-2 @ 4.28% ( Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.94% | 0-1 @ 12.88% ( 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0-2 @ 8.34% ( 1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0-3 @ 3.6% ( 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0-4 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 1.85% Total : 42.96% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
| 3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
| 4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
| 6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
| 7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
| 9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
| 10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
| 11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
| 12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
| 13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
| 15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
| 16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
| 17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
| 18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
| 19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
| R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
