Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Inter Milan | 
| 33.9% (  -0.06) | 27% (  0.02) | 39.1% (  0.05) | 
| Both teams to score 50.66% (  -0.07) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 45.42% (  -0.08) | 54.58% (  0.08) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 24.07% (  -0.07) | 75.93% (  0.07) | 
| Cagliari Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.63% (  -0.08) | 30.38% (  0.09) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.43% (  -0.1) | 66.57% (  0.11) | 
| Inter Milan Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.76% (  -0.01) | 27.24% (  0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.34% (  -0.01) | 62.66% (  0.02) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Cagliari | Draw | Inter Milan | 
| 1-0 @ 9.86% (  0.01) 2-1 @ 7.64% (  -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.87% (  -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.03% (  -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.33% (  -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.97% (  -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.9% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 33.9% | 1-1 @ 12.82% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 8.27% (  0.03) 2-2 @ 4.97% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 10.76% (  0.04) 1-2 @ 8.34% (  0) 0-2 @ 7% (  0.02) 1-3 @ 3.62% 0-3 @ 3.03% (  0.01) 2-3 @ 2.15% (  -0) 1-4 @ 1.18% (  -0) 0-4 @ 0.99% (  0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 39.1% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Inter Milan | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 31 | 41 | 71 | 
| 2 | Napoli | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 65 | 
| 3 | Juventus | 32 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 59 | 
| 4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 30 | 33 | 58 | 
| 5 | Bologna | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 | 
| 6 | Lazio | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 55 | 
| 7 | Roma | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 53 | 
| 8 | Fiorentina | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 52 | 
| 9 | AC Milan | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 51 | 
| 10 | Torino | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 40 | 
| 11 | Udinese | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 40 | 
| 12 | Genoa | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 38 | 
| 13 | Como | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 33 | 
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 31 | 9 | 4 | 18 | 30 | 59 | -29 | 31 | 
| 15 | CagliariCagliari | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 30 | 
| 16 | Parma | 31 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 27 | 
| 17 | Lecce | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 52 | -29 | 26 | 
| 18 | VeneziaVenezia | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 24 | 
| 19 | Empoli | 31 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 24 | 
| 20 | Monza | 32 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 25 | 56 | -31 | 15 | 
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
