MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 12:15:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29
Apr 12, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Marseille

Monaco
3 - 0
Marseille

Minamino (34'), Embolo (58'), Zakaria (82' pen.)
Singo (9'), Kehrer (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Harit (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 2-1 Monaco
Saturday, April 5 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 3-2 Toulouse
Sunday, April 6 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Monaco 2-2 Marseille

Two teams with very impressive frontlines are set to serve up an entertaining encounter here, but a draw will certainly be a better result for the visitors, given their slight superiority in the league table. There have been 31 goals in Monaco's last six home matches, and given Marseille's record at both ends of the pitch this season too, goals are certainly in store. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MonacoDrawMarseille
44.88% (0.149 0.15) 23.1%32.02% (-0.153 -0.15)
Both teams to score 63.46% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.29% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)37.7% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.05% (-0.073 -0.07)59.95% (0.07 0.07)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.76% (0.028999999999996 0.03)17.24% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.45% (0.054000000000002 0.05)47.54% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.67% (-0.122 -0.12)23.32% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.72% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)57.28% (0.171 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 44.88%
    Marseille 32.02%
    Draw 23.09%
MonacoDrawMarseille
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.07% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.21% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.3% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.86% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.64% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.33% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 44.88%
1-1 @ 10.28%
2-2 @ 6.58% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.02% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.87% (-0.0079999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.09%
1-2 @ 7.49% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.85% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 4.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 32.02%

How you voted: Monaco vs Marseille

Monaco
69.2%
Draw
23.1%
Marseille
7.7%
39
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Marseille
2-1
Monaco
Henrique (53'), Greenwood (89' pen.)
Golovin (41')
Vanderson (90+3')
Jan 27, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 19
Marseille
2-2
Monaco
Aubameyang (38'), Balerdi (50')
Soglo (76')
Ben Yedder (7'), Akliouche (45+4')
Zakaria (75'), Kehrer (82')
Maripan (11'), Zakaria (86')
Sep 30, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 7
Monaco
3-2
Marseille
Akliouche (8', 52'), Balogun (23')
Fofana (42'), Zakaria (59'), Matazo (76'), Magassa (90+2')
Ndiaye (1'), Gigot (18')
Correa (54'), Correa (59'), Clauss (73'), Rongier (77')
Jan 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 20
Marseille
1-1
Monaco
Sanchez (47')
Veretout (17' og.)
Nov 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Monaco
2-3
Marseille
Ben Yedder (45' pen.), Volland (72')
Sanchez (35'), Veretout (83'), Kolasinac (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG31246184315378
2Marseille31184966432358
3Lille31168749321756
4MonacoMonaco31167858362255
5Lyon31166962422054
6Nice31159759392054
7StrasbourgStrasbourg31159751381354
8Lens31136123537-245
9Brest31135134953-444
10Auxerre31118124545041
11Rennes31122174644238
12Toulouse3198143839-135
13Reims3189143242-1033
14NantesNantes31711133550-1532
15Angers3186172950-2130
16Le HavreLe Havre3184193465-3128
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3176183471-3727
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier3144232271-4916


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