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Ligue 1

Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29
Apr 12, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Marseille

Monaco
3 - 0
Marseille

Minamino (34'), Embolo (58'), Zakaria (82' pen.)
Singo (9'), Kehrer (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Harit (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions
Last Game: Brest 2-1 Monaco
Saturday, April 5 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

All competitions
Last Game: Marseille 3-2 Toulouse
Sunday, April 6 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MonacoDrawMarseille
44.88% (0.149 0.15)23.1%32.02% (-0.153 -0.15)
Both teams to score 63.46% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.29% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)37.7% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.05% (-0.073 -0.07)59.95% (0.07 0.07)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.76% (0.028999999999996 0.03)17.24% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.45% (0.054000000000002 0.05)47.54% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.67% (-0.122 -0.12)23.32% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.72% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)57.28% (0.171 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 44.88%
    Marseille 32.02%
    Draw 23.09%
MonacoDrawMarseille
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.07% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.21% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.3% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.86% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.64% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.33% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 44.88%
1-1 @ 10.28%
2-2 @ 6.58% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.02% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.87% (-0.0079999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.09%
1-2 @ 7.49% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.85% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 4.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 32.02%

How you voted: Monaco vs Marseille

Monaco
69.2%
Draw
23.1%
Marseille
7.7%
39
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Marseille
2-1
Monaco
Henrique (53'), Greenwood (89' pen.)
Golovin (41')
Vanderson (90+3')
> Preview
Jan 27, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 19
Marseille
2-2
Monaco
Aubameyang (38'), Balerdi (50')
Soglo (76')
Ben Yedder (7'), Akliouche (45+4')
Zakaria (75'), Kehrer (82')
Maripan (11'), Zakaria (86')
> Preview
Sep 30, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 7
Monaco
3-2
Marseille
Akliouche (8', 52'), Balogun (23')
Fofana (42'), Zakaria (59'), Matazo (76'), Magassa (90+2')
Ndiaye (1'), Gigot (18')
Correa (54'), Correa (59'), Clauss (73'), Rongier (77')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 20
Marseille
1-1
Monaco
Sanchez (47')
Veretout (17' og.)
> Preview
Nov 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Monaco
2-3
Marseille
Ben Yedder (45' pen.), Volland (72')
Sanchez (35'), Veretout (83'), Kolasinac (90+7')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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