Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Marseille |
44.88% (![]() | 23.1% | 32.02% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.46% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.29% (![]() | 37.7% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.05% (![]() | 59.95% (![]() |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.76% (![]() | 17.24% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.45% (![]() | 47.54% (![]() |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.67% (![]() | 23.32% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.72% (![]() | 57.28% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Marseille |
2-1 @ 9.05% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.07% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.21% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.3% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.6% ( ![]() Other @ 4.12% Total : 44.88% | 1-1 @ 10.28% 2-2 @ 6.58% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.02% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.87% ( ![]() Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.09% | 1-2 @ 7.49% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.85% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.26% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.63% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.19% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 84 | 31 | 53 | 78 |
2 | Marseille | 31 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 66 | 43 | 23 | 58 |
3 | Lille | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 56 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 55 |
5 | Lyon | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 54 |
6 | Nice | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 54 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 54 |
8 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 45 |
9 | Brest | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 44 |
10 | Auxerre | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
11 | Rennes | 31 | 12 | 2 | 17 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Toulouse | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 35 |
13 | Reims | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 33 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 32 |
15 | Angers | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 30 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 28 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 71 | -37 | 27 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 71 | -49 | 16 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |