Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Monaco3 - 2Marseille
We said: Monaco 3-1 Marseille
Having scored at least two goals in five of their six matches this season, Monaco will be confident of piling more pressure on Marseille, who will still be hurting after last weekend's thrashing against PSG. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Monaco win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Marseille |
36.34% ( -0.16) | 24.79% ( -0) | 38.86% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 58.46% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
