MX23RW : Thursday, April 24 17:55:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Heracles Almelo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 29
Apr 13, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
Erve Asito
AZ Alkmaar

Heracles
1 - 0
AZ

Hornkamp (47')
Bruns (17'), Bruijn (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-0 Heracles
Sunday, April 6 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 0-1 Feyenoord
Saturday, April 5 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Heracles 1-2 AZ Alkmaar

Given AZ's recent dismal streak at an important period of the season, Heracles will fancy their chances of maximum points. However, we are backing the visitors to finally get back on track, potentially through a late goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 53.43%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 24% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
HeraclesDrawAZ Alkmaar
24% (-0.295 -0.29) 22.57% (-0.035 -0.04) 53.43% (0.333 0.33)
Both teams to score 58.7% (-0.227 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.9% (-0.14 -0.14)41.1% (0.141 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.5% (-0.144 -0.14)63.5% (0.146 0.15)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.39% (-0.32000000000001 -0.32)30.61% (0.32 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.15% (-0.379 -0.38)66.85% (0.38 0.38)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.6% (0.063999999999993 0.06)15.4% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.79% (0.114 0.11)44.21% (-0.114 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 24%
    AZ Alkmaar 53.43%
    Draw 22.57%
HeraclesDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 6.18% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-0 @ 5.58% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.3% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.44% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.3% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 24%
1-1 @ 10.44%
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.71% (0.03 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.57%
1-2 @ 9.77% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.82% (0.075999999999999 0.08)
0-2 @ 8.25% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
1-3 @ 6.09% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 5.14% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.61% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.85% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.41% (0.036 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.69% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.07% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 53.43%

Head to Head
Feb 27, 2025 7pm
Semi-Finals
Heracles
2-2
AZ
(Aggregate 2-2 | AZ win 4-3 on penalties)
Mirani (17'), Podgoreanu (80')
Kulenovic (30'), Mesik (43'), De Keersmaecker (73'), Engels (108'), Benita (108'), Benita (108'), Engels (115'), de Keijzer (127')
Poku (12'), Lahdo (28')
Goes (31'), Penetra (65'), de Wit (69'), Smit (115'), Smit (116'), Penetra (127')
Dec 1, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 14
AZ
1-0
Heracles
Lahdo (89')

Scheperman (75'), Hornkamp (79'), Bruns (90+3')
Apr 3, 2024 5.45pm
Gameweek 28
Heracles
5-0
AZ
De Keersmaecker (19'), Hornkamp (38' pen., 40' pen.), Sankoh (90', 90+4')
De Keersmaecker (15'), Hoogma (34')

Belic (45')
Sep 28, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 3
AZ
1-1
Heracles
Pavlidis (13')
Sadiq (87')
Ouahim (53')
De Keersmaecker (56'), Bakboord (82'), Vejinovic (89')
Feb 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 20
AZ
2-1
Heracles
Reijnders (25'), Pavlidis (48')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax30234362263673
2PSV EindhovenPSV29204586335364
3Feyenoord29178464323259
4FC UtrechtUtrecht30178557421559
5FC Twente29139755411448
6AZ AlkmaarAZ29137947331446
7Go Ahead Eagles2913795246646
8Heerenveen30107133853-1537
9Groningen3098133245-1335
10Heracles30811113752-1535
11Sparta RotterdamSparta29810113336-334
12NECNijmegen2996144243-133
13Fortuna SittardSittard2996143349-1633
14PEC Zwolle29710123544-931
15NAC BredaNAC Breda2987143149-1831
16Willem II2966173049-1924
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2947183558-2319
18Almere CityAlmere City3047192159-3819


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