MX23RW : Saturday, April 26 00:17:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Heracles Almelo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
Erve Asito
PEC Zwolle

Heracles
4 - 2
PEC Zwolle

De Keersmaecker (8' pen.), Bruns (44'), Talvitie (58'), Hornkamp (63')
Mesik (40')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Vente (9'), Garcia McNulty (32')
van der Haar (8'), Monteiro (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heracles 2-2 AZ (3-4 pen.)
Thursday, February 27 at 7pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-1 Heerenveen
Sunday, February 16 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Heracles 1-1 PEC Zwolle

Judging their respective league positions, there is little to choose between the sides, so Sunday's game could easily swing either way. We are backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 49.52%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
HeraclesDrawPEC Zwolle
49.52% (0.061 0.06) 23.55%26.94% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 58.39% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.1% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)42.9% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.7% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)65.3% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)17.45% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.08% (0.012 0.01)47.92% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)29.27% (0.066999999999997 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)65.23% (0.083999999999989 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 49.52%
    PEC Zwolle 26.94%
    Draw 23.54%
HeraclesDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.92% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.78% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.56% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 4.53% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.49% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 49.52%
1-1 @ 10.95%
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.54%
1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 26.94%

Head to Head
Sep 1, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 4
PEC Zwolle
3-0
Heracles
Vente (13'), Mbayo (78'), Krastev (90+4')
Fichtinger (62')

Mesik (36'), Scheperman (90+5')
Apr 28, 2024 11.15am
Gameweek 31
PEC Zwolle
3-1
Heracles
Thy (16'), Van der Water (69'), Krastev (90+3')
Namli (49'), Krastev (75'), Lam (82')
Vejinovic (45+2')
De Keersmaecker (53'), Hrustic (89'), Bruns (90')
Oct 1, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 7
Heracles
2-1
PEC Zwolle
Hansson (69' pen., 82')
Bruns (58')
Thy (53')
Velanas (15'), Lam (29'), Buurmeester (76')
Jan 15, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 20
Heracles
0-3
PEC Zwolle
Lagsir (8'), Van den Belt (35'), Thy (39')
Oct 14, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 11
PEC Zwolle
3-2
Heracles
Kastaneer (27'), Thy (34', 36')
Armenteros (45+2'), Cicilia (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax30234362263673
2PSV EindhovenPSV30214589345567
3Feyenoord30188468323662
4FC UtrechtUtrecht31188561421962
5FC Twente30139856441248
6AZ AlkmaarAZ30138948341447
7Go Ahead Eagles2913795246646
8Heerenveen30107133853-1537
9Groningen3098133245-1335
10Heracles30811113752-1535
11Sparta RotterdamSparta29810113336-334
12NECNijmegen2996144243-133
13Fortuna SittardSittard2996143349-1633
14NAC BredaNAC Breda3088143250-1832
15PEC Zwolle30710133548-1331
16Willem II2966173049-1924
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3047193562-2719
18Almere CityAlmere City3047192159-3819


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