Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 49.52%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 49.52% ( | 23.55% | 26.94% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.39% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.1% ( | 42.9% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.7% ( | 65.3% ( |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.55% ( | 17.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.08% ( | 47.92% ( |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.73% ( | 29.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.77% ( | 65.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 1-0 @ 8.92% ( 2-0 @ 7.78% ( 3-1 @ 5.56% ( 3-0 @ 4.53% ( 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 4-1 @ 2.43% ( 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 4-2 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 3.85% Total : 49.52% | 1-1 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0-0 @ 5.11% ( 3-3 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0-1 @ 6.28% ( 0-2 @ 3.86% ( 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0-3 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 3.33% Total : 26.94% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 62 | 26 | 36 | 73 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 89 | 34 | 55 | 67 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 68 | 32 | 36 | 62 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 48 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 47 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 46 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 37 |
| 9 | Groningen | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 35 |
| 10 | Heracles | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 35 |
| 11 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 33 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 33 |
| 14 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 32 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
| 16 | Willem II | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 24 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 62 | -27 | 19 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 19 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
