Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 4
Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
Jakobstads Centralplan

Jaro
2 - 3
KTP

Bjorkskog (34'), Cissoko (77')
Gunnarsson (17'), Ogungbaro (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Paavola (33'), Tarvonen (63'), Manga (74' pen.)
Makela (30'), Glasson (84'), Paavola (90+5')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Jaro and KTP.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jaro

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: KuPS 1-0 Jaro
Saturday, April 19 at 5pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

KTP

All competitions
Last Game: KTP 0-5 Ilves
Saturday, April 19 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KTP win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for Jaro had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a KTP win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Jaro win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KTP would win this match.

Result
JaroDrawKTP
28.72% (0.339 0.34)23.14% (0.113 0.11)48.14% (-0.44900000000001 -0.45)
Both teams to score 61.27% (-0.148 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.27% (-0.304 -0.3)39.73% (0.30399999999999 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.91% (-0.317 -0.32)62.08% (0.318 0.32)
Jaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.62% (0.071999999999989 0.07)26.38% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.46% (0.095000000000006 0.1)61.53% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
KTP Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.22% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)16.77% (0.282 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.28% (-0.505 -0.51)46.72% (0.506 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Jaro 28.72%
    KTP 48.14%
    Draw 23.13%
JaroDrawKTP
2-1 @ 7.01% (0.062 0.06)
1-0 @ 5.9% (0.095 0.09)
2-0 @ 3.93% (0.071 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.12% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.75% (0.035 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 28.72%
1-1 @ 10.52% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 4.43% (0.063 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.13%
1-2 @ 9.4% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.9% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.05% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.59% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.2% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.73% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.5% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.87% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.66% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 48.14%

rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1KuPSKuPS11722169723
2Inter Turku96301861221
3IlvesIlves106132112919
4HJK Helsinki1052321101117
5SJKSJK114341717015
6Vaasan PalloseuraVPS94231414014
7HakaHaka93241214-211
8Gnistan93241215-311
9IFK MariehamnMariehamn103251120-911
10Jaro9225711-48
11KTP9135922-136
12Oulu101271321-85
> Finnish Veikkausliiga Full Table


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