Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 10 | 2nd Leg
Jun 14, 2025 at 5pm UK
Mustapekka Areena

Gnistan
2 - 1
KTP

Latonen (65', 90+2')
Bashkirov (20'), Arko-Mensah (34'), Abdoul Rachide Gnanou (39'), Heiskanen (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Forsell (35')
Lehtiranta (21'), Weckström (45+3'), Forsell (51'), Toivio (60')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Gnistan and KTP.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gnistan

All competitions
Last Game: Gnistan 0-2 Ilves
Sunday, June 1 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

KTP

All competitions
Last Game: KTP 2-2 Mariehamn
Saturday, May 31 at 1pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gnistan win with a probability of 45.95%. A win for KTP has a probability of 31.79% and a draw has a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.17%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest KTP win is 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.48%).

Result
GnistanDrawKTP
45.95% (0.537 0.54)22.26% (-0.102 -0.1)31.79% (-0.436 -0.44)
Both teams to score 66.53% (0.16600000000001 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.36% (0.306 0.31)33.64% (-0.307 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.55% (0.348 0.35)55.45% (-0.348 -0.35)
Gnistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.74% (0.31 0.31)15.26% (-0.311 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.06% (0.58000000000001 0.58)43.94% (-0.58 -0.58)
KTP Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51% (-0.091000000000008 -0.09)21.49% (0.09 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.46% (-0.141 -0.14)54.54% (0.139 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Gnistan 45.95%
    KTP 31.79%
    Draw 22.26%
GnistanDrawKTP
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.17% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.8% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.59% (0.076 0.08)
3-2 @ 4.29% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.059 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.063 0.06)
4-2 @ 2.02% (0.043 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.046 0.05)
4-3 @ 1.03% (0.019 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 45.95%
1-1 @ 9.48% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.85% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 3.28% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-3 @ 2.2% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.26%
1-2 @ 7.29% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-1 @ 5.04% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.88% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.73% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 31.79%