Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 8
May 24, 2025 at 1pm UK
Jakobstads Centralplan

Jaro
1 - 1
Gnistan

Cissoko (1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hafstad (42')
Kabashi (30'), Latonen (72'), Onni Vilho Europaeus (75')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Jaro and Gnistan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jaro

All competitions
Last Game: VPS 0-0 Jaro
Saturday, May 17 at 5pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Gnistan

All competitions
Last Game: Gnistan 2-2 SJK
Friday, May 16 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Jaro had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Jaro win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
JaroDrawGnistan
33.81% (0.46700000000001 0.47)24.69% (0.017000000000003 0.02)41.49% (-0.486 -0.49)
Both teams to score 58.34% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.31% (0.042999999999999 0.04)44.69% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.95% (0.039000000000001 0.04)67.05% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)
Jaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.39% (0.29700000000001 0.3)25.61% (-0.3 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.5% (0.404 0.4)60.5% (-0.407 -0.41)
Gnistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.43% (-0.212 -0.21)21.56% (0.209 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.35% (-0.323 -0.32)54.65% (0.32 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Jaro 33.81%
    Gnistan 41.49%
    Draw 24.69%
JaroDrawGnistan
2-1 @ 7.86% (0.07 0.07)
1-0 @ 7.52% (0.05 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.12% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.57% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.33% (0.055 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 33.81%
1-1 @ 11.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.03% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.69%
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
0-1 @ 8.47% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.5% (-0.095 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.53% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.32% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 41.49%