Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 5
May 2, 2025 at 4pm UK
Tehtaan kentta

Haka
0 - 1
Jaro


Okyere (25')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kahkonen (88')
Kusu (90+2')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Haka and Jaro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: SJK 2-2 Haka
Monday, April 28 at 5pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Jaro 2-3 KTP
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 52.05%. A win for Jaro had a probability of 24.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Jaro win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
HakaDrawJaro
52.05% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)23.87% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)24.08% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 54.43% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.19% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)46.81% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.93% (-0.041 -0.04)69.07% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Haka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)17.97% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.18% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)48.82% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Jaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.35% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)33.65% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.7% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)70.29% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Haka 52.04%
    Jaro 24.08%
    Draw 23.87%
HakaDrawJaro
1-0 @ 10.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.55% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 5.1% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 2.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 52.04%
1-1 @ 11.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.05% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.87%
0-1 @ 6.59% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 24.08%