Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 6
May 10, 2025 at 5pm UK
Raatin stadion

Oulu
2 - 3
Gnistan

Koskela (47'), Kaukua (50')
Rennicks (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Arko-Mensah (58', 65'), Hafstad (87')
Vayrynen (34'), Heiskanen (43'), (90+5')
Arko-Mensah (90+4')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Oulu and Gnistan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oulu

All competitions
Last Game: KTP 1-3 Oulu
Friday, May 2 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Gnistan

All competitions
Last Game: Gnistan 2-0 Mariehamn
Saturday, May 3 at 1pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
OuluDrawGnistan
40.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)24.67% (0.009999999999998 0.01)34.95% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.69% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.65% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)44.35% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.27% (-0.052 -0.05)66.72% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
Oulu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.04% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)21.96% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.75% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)55.25% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Gnistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.2% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)24.79% (0.034000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.63% (-0.052 -0.05)59.37% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Oulu 40.37%
    Gnistan 34.95%
    Draw 24.67%
OuluDrawGnistan
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.25% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.26% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 40.37%
1-1 @ 11.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.67%
1-2 @ 8.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 7.59% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.73% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 34.95%

Head to Head
Sep 27, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 3
Gnistan
1-0
Oulu
Enkerud (53')
Penninkangas (16'), Aijala (70')

Metaxas (41'), Bergsma (90+1')
Aug 18, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 20
Gnistan
2-0
Oulu
Hanninen (9'), Vayrynen (43')
Castro (84')

Metaxas (15')
May 11, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Oulu
1-1
Gnistan
Coffey (40' pen.)
Abdirahman Abadid (48'), Metaxas (90+4')
Enkerud (32')
Penninkangas (39'), Ojala (48'), Heiskanen (57'), Leppalahti (81')