Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 6
May 11, 2025 at 2pm UK
Jakobstads Centralplan
HJK logo

Jaro
0 - 3
HJK Helsinki


Cissoko (77'), Myrevik (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Michel (65'), Ring (72'), Ezeh (82')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Jaro and HJK Helsinki.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jaro

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Haka 0-1 Jaro
Friday, May 2 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Inter Turku 1-1 HJK Helsinki
Saturday, May 3 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Jaro had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Jaro win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.

Result
JaroDrawHJK Helsinki
35.3% (0.239 0.24)24.89% (0.062000000000001 0.06)39.81% (-0.302 -0.3)
Both teams to score 57.99% (-0.177 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.72% (-0.246 -0.25)45.28% (0.246 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.38% (-0.235 -0.23)67.62% (0.236 0.24)
Jaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.96% (0.021000000000001 0.02)25.03% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.29% (0.030999999999999 0.03)59.71% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.36% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)22.64% (0.257 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.73% (-0.383 -0.38)56.27% (0.383 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Jaro 35.3%
    HJK Helsinki 39.81%
    Draw 24.89%
JaroDrawHJK Helsinki
2-1 @ 8.07% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.85% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.44% (0.063999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.73% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.51% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 35.3%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.67% (0.059 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.89%
1-2 @ 8.66% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 8.42% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.25% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.29% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.1% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.59% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.15% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 39.81%