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Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 7
May 17, 2025 at 3pm UK
Toolon Pallokentta

HJK Helsinki
4 - 1
KTP

Ring (7'), Pukki (66'), Hostikka (70'), Kanellopoulos (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wilson (34' pen.)
Paavola (25'), Tanaka (44')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between HJK Helsinki and KTP.

Form, Standings, Stats

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Last Game: Jaro 0-3 HJK Helsinki
Sunday, May 11 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

KTP

All competitions
Last Game: KuPS 3-0 KTP
Saturday, May 10 at 1pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 57.08%. A win for KTP had a probability of 21.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 1-0 (7.85%). The likeliest KTP win was 1-2 (5.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.

Result
HJK HelsinkiDrawKTP
57.08% (-0.886 -0.89)21.08% (0.019000000000002 0.02)21.85% (0.866 0.87)
Both teams to score 61.16% (1.289 1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.42% (1.09 1.09)36.58% (-1.092 -1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.26% (1.179 1.18)58.74% (-1.181 -1.18)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.27% (0.093000000000004 0.09)12.72% (-0.096 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.04% (0.192 0.19)38.96% (-0.195 -0.2)
KTP Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.08% (1.401 1.4)29.92% (-1.403 -1.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.97% (1.659 1.66)66.02% (-1.662 -1.66)
Score Analysis
    HJK Helsinki 57.08%
    KTP 21.85%
    Draw 21.08%
HJK HelsinkiDrawKTP
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.09% (-0.381 -0.38)
1-0 @ 7.85% (-0.399 -0.4)
3-1 @ 6.71% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.56% (-0.242 -0.24)
3-2 @ 4.05% (0.139 0.14)
4-1 @ 3.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.87% (-0.114 -0.11)
4-2 @ 2.09% (0.079 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.18% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 57.08%
1-1 @ 9.47% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.182 0.18)
0-0 @ 3.81% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.08%
1-2 @ 5.71% (0.157 0.16)
0-1 @ 4.59% (-0.066999999999999 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.77% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.16 0.16)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.148 0.15)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 21.85%

Head to Head
Jun 11, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 12
HJK Helsinki
1-0
KTP
Radulovic (64' pen.)
Soiri (86')
May 9, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 6
KTP
3-3
HJK Helsinki
Roiha (58'), Mika (78'), Furtado (90+2')
Stjopin (3'), Peltola (23'), Moller (84')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
KTP
0-1
HJK Helsinki

Finnas (68'), Sissoko (70')
Valencic (23' pen.)
Tenho (74')
Jun 24, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 11
HJK Helsinki
2-0
KTP
Riski (39'), Olusanya (68')
Tenho (62'), (82')

Laaksonen (83')