Championship

Championship | Gameweek 45

Apr 26, 2025 at 12.30pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
1 - 0
Coventry

Baptiste (90')
Walsh (65'), Morris (69'), Jones (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Binks (45+5'), Collins (58'), Sheaf (69'), Grimes (84'), Eccles (86')
Dasilva (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 3-1 Bristol City
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Coventry City

All competitions

Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Coventry
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Coventry City
35.47% ( 0.1)	26.72% ( -0.03)	37.81% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 51.79% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.75% (

0.13)

53.25% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.19% (

0.11)

74.81% (

-0.1)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.27% (

0.12)

28.72% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.44% (

0.15)

64.55% (

-0.15)

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.66% (

0.02)

27.34% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.2% (

0.02)

62.79% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 35.47%

Coventry City 37.81%

Draw 26.71%

Luton Town	Draw	Coventry City
1-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 35.47%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.71%	0-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.56% 0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 37.81%

How you voted: Luton vs Coventry

Luton Town

53.6%

Draw

16.1%

Coventry City

30.4%

Head to Head

Oct 26, 2024 12.30pm

Gameweek 12

Coventry

3-2

Luton

Simms (59'), Torp (76'), Wright (90+2')
Kitching (13'), Sheaf (81')

Morris (15' pen.), Adebayo (37')
Doughty (17'), Morris (18'), McGuinness (22'), Holmes (54')
Holmes (90')

> Preview

May 27, 2023 4.45pm

Coventry

1-1

Luton

(Aggregate 1-1 | Luton win 6-5 on penalties)

Hamer (66')
McNally (46')

Clark (23')
Clark (99')

> Match Report

Feb 11, 2023 3pm

Gameweek 31

Coventry

1-1

Luton

Godden (45+1' pen.)

Lockyer (1')

> Preview

Sep 14, 2022 7.45pm

Gameweek 10

Luton

2-2

Coventry

Morris (4', 15')

Gyokeres (11'), Hamer (61')

> Preview

Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm

Gameweek 26

Coventry

0-1

Luton

Allen (34'), Clarke-Salter (45+1'), McFadzean (87')

Adebayo (38')
Bell (8'), Cornick (60'), Jerome (66'), Adebayo (68'), Burke (73')

> Preview

Form Guide

Luton 3-1 Bristol City

Plymouth 3-1 Coventry

Coventry 2-0 West Brom

Hull City 1-1 Coventry

Coventry 1-0 Portsmouth

Coventry 1-2 Burnley

Sheff Utd 3-1 Coventry

Nations League

Spain

International Friendlies

Algeria

International Friendlies

Georgia

Belarus

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

Congo DR

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

Saudi Arabia

Indonesia

South Korea

Palestine

Jordan

Qatar

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Leeds United Leeds	46	29	13	4	95	30	65	100
P	Burnley	46	28	16	2	69	16	53	100
3	Sheffield United Sheff Utd	46	28	8	10	63	36	27	90
P	Sunderland	46	21	13	12	58	44	14	76
5	Coventry City Coventry	46	20	9	17	64	58	6	69
6	Bristol City	46	17	17	12	59	55	4	68
7	Blackburn Rovers Blackburn	46	19	9	18	53	48	5	66
8	Millwall	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2	66
9	West Bromwich Albion West Brom	46	15	19	12	57	47	10	64
10	Middlesbrough	46	18	10	18	64	56	8	64
11	Swansea City Swansea	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5	61
12	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9	58
13	Norwich City Norwich	46	14	15	17	71	68	3	57
14	Watford	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8	57
15	Queens Park Rangers QPR	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10	56
16	Portsmouth	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13	54
17	Oxford United Oxford Utd	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16	53
18	Stoke City Stoke	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17	51
19	Derby County Derby	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8	50
20	Preston North End Preston	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11	50
21	Hull City	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10	49
R	Luton Town Luton	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24	49
R	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37	46
R	Cardiff City Cardiff	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25	44
					> Championship Full Table