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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
The Coventry Building Society Arena
Burnley logo

Coventry
1 - 2
Burnley

Wright (5')
Kitching (18'), van Ewijk (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Anthony (16', 46')
Brownhill (19'), Egan Riley (70'), Mejbri (85'), Laurent (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 3-1 Coventry
Friday, March 28 at 8pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Coventry City win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Burnley has a probability of 34.23% and a draw has a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Burnley win is 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.68%).

Result
Coventry CityDrawBurnley
39.09% (-0.331 -0.33)26.67% (0.501 0.5)34.23% (-0.16800000000001 -0.17)
Both teams to score 51.76% (-1.66 -1.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.79% (-2.103 -2.1)53.21% (2.106 2.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.23% (-1.815 -1.82)74.77% (1.818 1.82)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.4% (-1.152 -1.15)26.6% (1.154 1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.18% (-1.55 -1.55)61.82% (1.553 1.55)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.52% (-1.134 -1.13)29.48% (1.137 1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.51% (-1.408 -1.41)65.49% (1.41 1.41)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 39.09%
    Burnley 34.23%
    Draw 26.67%
Coventry CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 10.38% (0.511 0.51)
2-1 @ 8.4% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-0 @ 6.88% (0.122 0.12)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-0 @ 3.04% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.185 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 39.09%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.24 0.24)
0-0 @ 7.84% (0.629 0.63)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.239 -0.24)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 9.58% (0.485 0.48)
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.85% (0.117 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.38% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 34.23%

How you voted: Coventry vs Burnley

Coventry City
20.0%
Draw
25.5%
Burnley
54.5%
55
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Burnley
2-0
Coventry
Sarmiento (47'), Egan Riley (80')
Trafford (90+4')

Bassette (29')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Burnley
1-0
Coventry
Beyer (82')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Coventry
0-1
Burnley
Tella (39')
Apr 14, 2012 3pm
Oct 22, 2011 3pm
Coventry
1-2
Burnley
McDonald (59')
Bell (58'), Murphy (87'), Wood (90')
Bigirimana (81')
Wallace (73')
Rodriguez (32'), Bartley (53'), Wallace (67'), Edgar (79')