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FA Cup

Preston North End logo
FA Cup | Fifth Round
Mar 1, 2025 at 12.15pm UK
Deepdale
Burnley logo

Preston
3 - 0
Burnley

Brady (31'), Osmajic (44'), Keane (73')
Teitur Thordarson (28'), Kesler (35'), Ledson (67'), Ledson (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pires (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Preston North End and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Preston North End

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Coventry 2-1 Preston
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Championship

Burnley

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Burnley 4-0 Sheff Weds
Friday, February 21 at 8pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Burnley win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Preston North End has a probability of 28.74% and a draw has a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.48%) and 1-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Preston North End win is 1-0 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.16%).

Result
Preston North EndDrawBurnley
28.74% (0.056000000000001 0.06)28.56% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)42.7% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 44.42% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.4% (0.048999999999999 0.05)61.6% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.56% (0.036999999999999 0.04)81.44% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.19% (0.073 0.07)37.81% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.42% (0.07 0.07)74.58% (-0.068000000000012 -0.07)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (0.0010000000000048 0)28.58% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.62%64.38% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 28.73%
    Burnley 42.7%
    Draw 28.56%
Preston North EndDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 10.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.4% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.11% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.08% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.66% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.3% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 28.73%
1-1 @ 13.16%
0-0 @ 10.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.01% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.56%
0-1 @ 13.53% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.48% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.24%
0-3 @ 3.54% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.44%
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 42.7%

How you voted: Preston vs Burnley

Preston North End
15.6%
Draw
13.3%
Burnley
71.1%
45
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2025 12.30pm
Gameweek 33
Preston
0-0
Burnley
Porteous (53'), Hughes (80')
Flemming (78'), Anthony (90+7')
> Preview
Oct 5, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 9
Burnley
0-0
Preston
Foster (66'), Brownhill (69'), Egan Riley (71')
Hughes (26'), Woodman (44'), Whiteman (55'), McCann (69')
> Preview
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Burnley
3-0
Preston
Tella (15', 55', 58')
> Preview
Sep 13, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 10
Preston
1-1
Burnley
Storey (15')
Harwood-Bellis (10')
> Preview
Sep 1, 2020 2pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Preston
0-0
Burnley
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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