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FA Cup

Southampton logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Feb 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Burnley logo

Southampton
0 - 1
Burnley


Deen Sulemana (51'), Bree (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Edwards (77')
Worrall (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Southampton and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Ipswich 1-2 Southampton
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Premier League

Burnley

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, February 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 52.49%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 25.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawBurnley
25.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)22.5% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)52.49% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 60.13% (0.142 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.26% (0.181 0.18)39.74% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.9% (0.187 0.19)62.1% (-0.188 -0.19)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.94% (0.104 0.1)29.06% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.03% (0.127 0.13)64.97% (-0.127 -0.13)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.76% (0.075999999999993 0.08)15.24% (-0.075999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.09% (0.139 0.14)43.91% (-0.139 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 25.01%
    Burnley 52.49%
    Draw 22.5%
SouthamptonDrawBurnley
2-1 @ 6.36%
1-0 @ 5.47% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 3.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.62% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 25.01%
1-1 @ 10.29% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.43% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.5%
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.33% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.84% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 6.07% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.91% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.75% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.86% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.77% (0.013 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.08% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 52.49%

How you voted: Southampton vs Burnley

Southampton
68.0%
Draw
10.7%
Burnley
21.3%
75
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Burnley
2-0
Southampton
Roberts (12'), Collins (44')
Cork (38'), Tarkowski (73')

Bednarek (73'), Perraud (79')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Southampton
2-2
Burnley
Livramento (41'), Broja (50')
Elyounoussi (81')
Cornet (13', 57')
Cork (42'), Rodriguez (70'), Westwood (72')
> Preview
Apr 4, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 30
Southampton
3-2
Burnley
Armstrong (31'), Ings (42'), Redmond (66')
Wood (12' pen.), Vydra (28')
> Match Report
Sep 26, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 3
Burnley
0-1
Southampton

Bardsley (48')
Ings (5')
> Match Report
Feb 15, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 26
Southampton
1-2
Burnley
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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