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Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 27, 2025 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
Leeds logo

Burnley
0 - 0
Leeds

FT

Solomon (31'), James (60'), Bogle (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Burnley and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 0-5 Burnley
Wednesday, January 22 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Norwich
Wednesday, January 22 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 1-1 Leeds United

Both teams are in fantastic form heading into this one - the hosts unbeaten in 16 and the visitors undefeated in 11 - leading us to expect an extremely tight affair that we believe will end all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawLeeds United
28.14% (-0.969 -0.97) 25.75% (-0.277 -0.28) 46.11% (1.247 1.25)
Both teams to score 52.13% (0.257 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.44% (0.623 0.62)51.56% (-0.623 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.64% (0.54 0.54)73.35% (-0.539 -0.54)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.12% (-0.404 -0.4)32.88% (0.405 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.54% (-0.453 -0.45)69.45% (0.45299999999999 0.45)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (0.84700000000001 0.85)22.34% (-0.846 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.18% (1.253 1.25)55.82% (-1.252 -1.25)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 28.14%
    Leeds United 46.1%
    Draw 25.74%
BurnleyDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 8.17% (-0.298 -0.3)
2-1 @ 6.81% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-0 @ 4.54% (-0.219 -0.22)
3-1 @ 2.53% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.69% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 28.14%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.184 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 11%
1-2 @ 9.18% (0.131 0.13)
0-2 @ 8.25% (0.207 0.21)
1-3 @ 4.59% (0.177 0.18)
0-3 @ 4.12% (0.203 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.071 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.72% (0.107 0.11)
0-4 @ 1.55% (0.113 0.11)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 46.1%

How you voted: Burnley vs Leeds

Burnley
34.6%
Draw
27.8%
Leeds United
37.6%
133
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Leeds
0-1
Burnley

Firpo (34'), Gnonto (52'), Ampadu (60')
Koleosho (18')
Mejbri (38'), Anthony (45'), Worrall (45+2'), Humphreys (66'), (90+8'), Massengo (90+6')
Humphreys (90+8')
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 21
Leeds
3-1
Burnley
Harrison (39'), Dallas (77'), James (90+2')
Roberts (10'), Llorente (53')
Cornet (54')
Tarkowski (28')
Aug 29, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 3
Burnley
1-1
Leeds
Wood (61')
Brownhill (19'), Barnes (28'), Mee (45+1'), Lennon (90')
Bamford (86')
Phillips (38'), Rodrigo (53'), Struijk (81')
May 15, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 36
Burnley
0-4
Leeds

Westwood (65')
Klich (44'), Harrison (60'), Rodrigo (77', 79')
Phillips (63')
Dec 27, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 15
Leeds
1-0
Burnley
Bamford (5' pen.)

Tarkowski (28'), Westwood (79'), Barnes (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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