MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 16:01:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Championship header 2

Championship
Leeds logo
Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Elland Road
Burnley logo

Leeds
0 - 1
Burnley


Firpo (34'), Gnonto (52'), Ampadu (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Koleosho (18')
Mejbri (38'), Anthony (45'), Worrall (45+2'), Humphreys (66'), (90+8'), Massengo (90+6')
Humphreys (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Hull City
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship

Burnley

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Blackburn
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-1 Burnley

 After a shaky opening two matches, Leeds have looked like genuine top-two contenders and will be confident of recording a third straight Championship win at Elland Road this weekend. Burnley are not as strong as there were when they destroyed this division under Kompany, so we are expecting a narrow defeat for Parker's troops against a promotional rival. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 67.34%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 14.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 1-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawBurnley
67.34% (0.833 0.83) 18.37% (-0.285 -0.29) 14.29% (-0.548 -0.55)
Both teams to score 55.43% (-0.437 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.08% (0.131 0.13)36.92% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.9% (0.14400000000001 0.14)59.1% (-0.145 -0.14)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.91% (0.242 0.24)10.09% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.76% (0.55199999999999 0.55)33.24% (-0.554 -0.55)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.65% (-0.65499999999999 -0.65)38.35% (0.654 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.9% (-0.633 -0.63)75.1% (0.631 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 67.33%
    Burnley 14.29%
    Draw 18.37%
Leeds UnitedDrawBurnley
2-0 @ 10.17% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.034999999999998 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.88% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.78% (0.189 0.19)
3-1 @ 7.46% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 4.46% (0.154 0.15)
4-1 @ 4.28% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.05% (0.091 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.96% (0.053 0.05)
5-2 @ 0.94% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 67.33%
1-1 @ 8.51% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-0 @ 3.87% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.37%
1-2 @ 4.08% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-1 @ 3.71% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.78% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.3% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 14.29%

How you voted: Leeds vs Burnley

Leeds United
80.4%
Draw
9.3%
Burnley
10.3%
97
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 21
Leeds
3-1
Burnley
Harrison (39'), Dallas (77'), James (90+2')
Roberts (10'), Llorente (53')
Cornet (54')
Tarkowski (28')
> Preview
Aug 29, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 3
Burnley
1-1
Leeds
Wood (61')
Brownhill (19'), Barnes (28'), Mee (45+1'), Lennon (90')
Bamford (86')
Phillips (38'), Rodrigo (53'), Struijk (81')
> Match Report
May 15, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 36
Burnley
0-4
Leeds

Westwood (65')
Klich (44'), Harrison (60'), Rodrigo (77', 79')
Phillips (63')
> Match Report
Dec 27, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 15
Leeds
1-0
Burnley
Bamford (5' pen.)

Tarkowski (28'), Westwood (79'), Barnes (90')
> Match Report
Sep 19, 2017 7.45pm
Third Round
Burnley
2-2
Leeds
(Aggregate 2-2 | Leeds win 5-3 on penalties)
Wood (89' pen.), Brady (96')
Bardsley (53'), Berg Gudmundsson (70'), Long (85')
Sacko (80'), Hernandez (94' pen.)
Grot (45'), Roofe (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344
> Championship Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!