Championship

Championship | Gameweek 5

Sep 14, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
0 - 1
Burnley

Firpo (34'), Gnonto (52'), Ampadu (60')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Koleosho (18')
Mejbri (38'), Anthony (45'), Worrall (45+2'), Humphreys (66'), (90+8'), Massengo (90+6')
Humphreys (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Hull City
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Burnley

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Blackburn
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 67.34%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 14.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 1-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Burnley
67.34% ( 0.83)	18.37% ( -0.29)	14.29% ( -0.55)

Both teams to score 55.43% (

-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.08% (

0.13)

36.92% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.9% (

0.14)

59.1% (

-0.14)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.91% (

0.24)

10.09% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.76% (

0.55)

33.24% (

-0.55)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.65% (

-0.65)

38.35% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.9% (

-0.63)

75.1% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 67.33%

Burnley 14.29%

Draw 18.37%

Leeds United	Draw	Burnley
2-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.99% Total : 67.33%	1-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.37%	1-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.93% Total : 14.29%

How you voted: Leeds vs Burnley

Leeds United

80.4%

Draw

9.3%

Burnley

10.3%

Head to Head

Jan 2, 2022 2pm

Gameweek 21

Leeds

3-1

Burnley

Harrison (39'), Dallas (77'), James (90+2')
Roberts (10'), Llorente (53')

Cornet (54')
Tarkowski (28')

> Preview

Aug 29, 2021 2pm

Gameweek 3

Burnley

1-1

Leeds

Wood (61')
Brownhill (19'), Barnes (28'), Mee (45+1'), Lennon (90')

Bamford (86')
Phillips (38'), Rodrigo (53'), Struijk (81')

> Match Report

May 15, 2021 12.30pm

Gameweek 36

Burnley

0-4

Leeds

Westwood (65')

Klich (44'), Harrison (60'), Rodrigo (77', 79')
Phillips (63')

> Match Report

Dec 27, 2020 12pm

Gameweek 15

Leeds

1-0

Burnley

Bamford (5' pen.)

Tarkowski (28'), Westwood (79'), Barnes (90')

> Match Report

Sep 19, 2017 7.45pm

Third Round

Burnley

2-2

Leeds

(Aggregate 2-2 | Leeds win 5-3 on penalties)

Wood (89' pen.), Brady (96')
Bardsley (53'), Berg Gudmundsson (70'), Long (85')

Sacko (80'), Hernandez (94' pen.)
Grot (45'), Roofe (59')

Form Guide

Leeds 2-0 Hull City

Sheff Weds 0-2 Leeds

West Brom 0-0 Leeds

Leeds 0-3 Middlesbrough

Leeds 3-3 Portsmouth

Leeds 2-1 Valencia

Burnley 1-1 Blackburn

Wolves 2-0 Burnley

Sunderland 1-0 Burnley

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Leeds United Leeds	46	29	13	4	95	30	65	100
P	Burnley	46	28	16	2	69	16	53	100
3	Sheffield United Sheff Utd	46	28	8	10	63	36	27	90
P	Sunderland	46	21	13	12	58	44	14	76
5	Coventry City Coventry	46	20	9	17	64	58	6	69
6	Bristol City	46	17	17	12	59	55	4	68
7	Blackburn Rovers Blackburn	46	19	9	18	53	48	5	66
8	Millwall	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2	66
9	West Bromwich Albion West Brom	46	15	19	12	57	47	10	64
10	Middlesbrough	46	18	10	18	64	56	8	64
11	Swansea City Swansea	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5	61
12	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9	58
13	Norwich City Norwich	46	14	15	17	71	68	3	57
14	Watford	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8	57
15	Queens Park Rangers QPR	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10	56
16	Portsmouth	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13	54
17	Oxford United Oxford Utd	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16	53
18	Stoke City Stoke	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17	51
19	Derby County Derby	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8	50
20	Preston North End Preston	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11	50
21	Hull City	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10	49
R	Luton Town Luton	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24	49
R	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37	46
R	Cardiff City Cardiff	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25	44
					> Championship Full Table