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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Burnley win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Cardiff City |
31.3% (![]() | 24.55% (![]() | 44.15% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.88% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.12% (![]() | 44.88% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.77% (![]() | 67.23% (![]() |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.75% (![]() | 27.25% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.32% (![]() | 62.68% (![]() |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.57% (![]() | 20.43% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.12% (![]() | 52.88% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Cardiff City |
2-1 @ 7.47% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.24% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.71% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.24% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 2.99% Total : 31.3% | 1-1 @ 11.49% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.93% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.57% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.36% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.54% | 1-2 @ 9.13% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.84% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.02% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.83% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.72% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 2.82% Total : 44.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 28 | 13 | 4 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 97 |
2 | Burnley | 45 | 27 | 16 | 2 | 66 | 15 | 51 | 97 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 45 | 28 | 7 | 10 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 89 |
4 | Sunderland | 45 | 21 | 13 | 11 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 76 |
5 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 16 | 12 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 67 |
6 | Coventry CityCoventry | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 62 | 58 | 4 | 66 |
7 | Millwall | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 66 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 19 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 65 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 18 | 10 | 17 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 64 |
10 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 14 | 19 | 12 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 61 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 60 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 68 | -9 | 57 |
13 | Watford | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 56 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 67 | 66 | 1 | 54 |
15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 53 |
16 | Portsmouth | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 57 | 70 | -13 | 53 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 45 | 13 | 13 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 52 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 12 | 14 | 19 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 50 |
19 | Derby CountyDerby | 45 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 49 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 45 | 10 | 19 | 16 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 49 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 45 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 42 | 64 | -22 | 49 |
22 | Hull City | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 48 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 11 | 13 | 21 | 50 | 86 | -36 | 46 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 9 | 17 | 19 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 44 |
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