Championship

Championship | Gameweek 1

Aug 12, 2024 at 8pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
1 - 4
Burnley

Chong (55')
Nelson (51'), Chong (60')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Brownhill (6'), Odobert (37'), O'Shea (72'), Vitinho (80')
Trafford (43'), Pires (59'), Cullen (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 1-3 Celta Vigo
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Burnley

All competitions

Last Game: Cadiz 1-1 Burnley
Sunday, August 4 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Burnley
44.72% ( 0.63)	24.12% ( 0.02)	31.16% ( -0.65)

Both teams to score 59.32% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.04% (

-0.37)

42.95% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.64% (

-0.37)

65.35% (

0.37)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.6% (

0.12)

19.4% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.79% (

0.19)

51.21% (

-0.19)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.6% (

-0.59)

26.4% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.44% (

-0.79)

61.56% (

0.79)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 44.72%

Burnley 31.16%

Draw 24.11%

Luton Town	Draw	Burnley
2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 44.72%	1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.11%	1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 6.82% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.31% Total : 31.16%

How you voted: Luton vs Burnley

Luton Town

32.2%

Draw

17.0%

Burnley

50.8%

Head to Head

Jan 12, 2024 7.45pm

Gameweek 21

Burnley

1-1

Luton

Amdouni (36')
Trafford (90+3')

Morris (90+2')

> Preview

Oct 3, 2023 7.30pm

Gameweek 2

Luton

1-2

Burnley

Adebayo (84')
Brown (36'), Burke (59'), Nakamba (90+3'), Chong (90+2')

Foster (45+2'), Bruun Larsen (85')
Roberts (66'), Taylor (90+4')

> Match Report

Feb 18, 2023 3pm

Gameweek 33

Luton

0-1

Burnley

Barnes (78' pen.)

> Preview

Aug 6, 2022 3pm

Gameweek 2

Burnley

1-1

Luton

Brownhill (50')
Barnes (89'), Roberts (90+4')

Potts (5')
Morris (66')

> Preview

Mar 31, 2007 3pm

Form Guide

Burnley 1-2 Nott'm Forest

Spurs 2-1 Burnley

Burnley 1-4 Newcastle

Man Utd 1-1 Burnley

Sheff Utd 1-4 Burnley

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

Singapore

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Leeds United Leeds	46	29	13	4	95	30	65	100
P	Burnley	46	28	16	2	69	16	53	100
3	Sheffield United Sheff Utd	46	28	8	10	63	36	27	90
P	Sunderland	46	21	13	12	58	44	14	76
5	Coventry City Coventry	46	20	9	17	64	58	6	69
6	Bristol City	46	17	17	12	59	55	4	68
7	Blackburn Rovers Blackburn	46	19	9	18	53	48	5	66
8	Millwall	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2	66
9	West Bromwich Albion West Brom	46	15	19	12	57	47	10	64
10	Middlesbrough	46	18	10	18	64	56	8	64
11	Swansea City Swansea	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5	61
12	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9	58
13	Norwich City Norwich	46	14	15	17	71	68	3	57
14	Watford	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8	57
15	Queens Park Rangers QPR	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10	56
16	Portsmouth	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13	54
17	Oxford United Oxford Utd	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16	53
18	Stoke City Stoke	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17	51
19	Derby County Derby	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8	50
20	Preston North End Preston	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11	50
21	Hull City	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10	49
R	Luton Town Luton	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24	49
R	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37	46
R	Cardiff City Cardiff	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25	44
					> Championship Full Table