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EFL Cup
Wolves logo
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 28, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Molineux Stadium
Burnley logo

Wolves
2 - 0
Burnley

Guedes (38', 54')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Roberts (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolverhampton Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Wolves 2-6 Chelsea
Sunday, August 25 at 2pm in Premier League

Burnley

All competitions
Last Game: Sunderland 1-0 Burnley
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-1 Burnley

 Wolves have a much stronger squad than their opponents due to Burnley losing 16 players so far in the transfer window, suggesting the hosts will win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Burnley has a probability of 34.94% and a draw has a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Burnley win is 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.76%).

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawBurnley
40.01% (-1.93 -1.93) 25.04% (0.97 0.97) 34.94% (0.96 0.96)
Both teams to score 57.39% (-3.242 -3.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.95% (-4.318 -4.32)46.04% (4.317 4.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.65% (-4.219 -4.22)68.34% (4.217 4.22)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.13% (-2.767 -2.77)22.87% (2.767 2.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.39% (-4.258 -4.26)56.61% (4.257 4.26)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-1.482 -1.48)25.59% (1.48 1.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (-2.062 -2.06)60.47% (2.062 2.06)
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 40.01%
    Burnley 34.94%
    Draw 25.03%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawBurnley
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.192 -0.19)
1-0 @ 8.64% (0.859 0.86)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.132 0.13)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.476 -0.48)
3-0 @ 3.13% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.466 -0.47)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.328 -0.33)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.183 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.281 -0.28)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 40.01%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.7 0.7)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.395 -0.4)
0-0 @ 5.85% (1.005 1.01)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.278 -0.28)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.03%
1-2 @ 8.02% (0.152 0.15)
0-1 @ 7.98% (1.082 1.08)
0-2 @ 5.44% (0.532 0.53)
1-3 @ 3.64% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.305 -0.31)
0-3 @ 2.47% (0.144 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 34.94%

How you voted: Wolves vs Burnley

Wolverhampton Wanderers
75.8%
Draw
7.8%
Burnley
16.4%
128
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Burnley
1-1
Wolves
Bruun Larsen (37')
Ait-Nouri (45+3')
Semedo (54'), Gomes (90+3')
> Match Report
Dec 5, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 15
Wolves
1-0
Burnley
Hee-chan (42')
Lemina (57'), Kilman (80')

Brownhill (2'), Berge (53'), Taylor (63'), Ekdal (74')
> Match Report
Jul 9, 2022 12.30pm
Club Friendlies
Wolves
3-0
Burnley
Gibbs-White (3'), Podence (26'), Chiquinho (54')
> Preview
Apr 24, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 34
Burnley
1-0
Wolves
Vydra (62')
Vydra (33'), Taylor (77'), Barnes (90+4')

Neto (90+4')
> Preview
Dec 1, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Wolves
0-0
Burnley
Hee-chan (18'), Kilman (86')
Mee (7'), Lowton (18'), Rodriguez (64')
> Preview
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