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Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 5, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Molineux Stadium
Burnley logo

Wolves
1 - 0
Burnley

Hee-chan (42')
Lemina (57'), Kilman (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brownhill (2'), Berge (53'), Taylor (63'), Ekdal (74')

The Match

Match Report

Hwang Hee-chan scores the only goal as Wolverhampton Wanderers beat Burnley 1-0 at Molineux.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Wolves
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 5-0 Sheff Utd
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 37.39% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawBurnley
37.56% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 25.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 37.39% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 57.63% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.17% (0.039999999999999 0.04)45.82% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.86% (0.040000000000003 0.04)68.14% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.96% (0.010000000000005 0.01)24.04% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.69% (0.010000000000005 0.01)58.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.87% (0.037000000000006 0.04)24.13% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.56% (0.050000000000004 0.05)58.43% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 37.56%
    Burnley 37.4%
    Draw 25.03%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawBurnley
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.27% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.89% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.98%
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.42%
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 37.56%
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 5.8% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25.03%
1-2 @ 8.36% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 8.25% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 5.86% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.96% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.41% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 37.4%

How you voted: Wolves vs Burnley

Wolverhampton Wanderers
76.9%
Draw
14.0%
Burnley
9.1%
186
Head to Head
Jul 9, 2022 12.30pm
Club Friendlies
Wolves
3-0
Burnley
Gibbs-White (3'), Podence (26'), Chiquinho (54')
Apr 24, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 34
Burnley
1-0
Wolves
Vydra (62')
Vydra (33'), Taylor (77'), Barnes (90+4')

Neto (90+4')
Dec 1, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Wolves
0-0
Burnley
Hee-chan (18'), Kilman (86')
Mee (7'), Lowton (18'), Rodriguez (64')
Apr 25, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 33
Wolves
0-4
Burnley
Wood (15', 21', 44'), Westwood (85')
Tarkowski (39'), Traore (39'), Lowton (42')
Dec 21, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Burnley
2-1
Wolves
Barnes (35'), Wood (51')
Westwood (36'), Rodriguez (90+4')
Silva (89' pen.)
Otasowie (45+1')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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