Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.