Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 7

Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK

St. James' Park

Newcastle
2 - 0
Burnley

Almiron (14'), Isak (76' pen.)
Gordon (17')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Amdouni (29'), Beyer (40'), Taylor (53')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United make it three straight wins in the Premier League courtesy of a 2-0 success over Burnley at St James' Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Man City
Wednesday, September 27 at 8pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burnley

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Salford City 0-4 Burnley
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Burnley
46.08% ( -0)	26.42% ( 0)	27.5%

Both teams to score 49.67% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.45% (

-0.01)

54.54% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.1% (

-0)

75.89% (

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.37% (

-0)

23.63% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.28% (

-0)

57.71% (

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.03% (

-0)

34.96% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.29% (

-0)

71.7% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 46.07%

Burnley 27.5%

Draw 26.41%

Newcastle United	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 11.91% 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 8.6% 3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 46.07%	1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.41%	0-1 @ 8.68% 1-2 @ 6.58% 0-2 @ 4.56% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.11% Total : 27.5%