Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 5

Sep 16, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

St. James' Park

Newcastle
1 - 0
Brentford

Wilson (64' pen.)
Gordon (90+5'), Guimaraes (90+7'), Wilson (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Wissa (33'), Norgaard (42'), Hickey (59'), Flekken (64'), Collins (85')

The Match

Match Report

Callum Wilson scores a second-half penalty to guide Newcastle United to a narrow 1-0 win over Brentford at St. James' Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brighton 3-1 Newcastle
Saturday, September 2 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brentford

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brentford 2-2 Bournemouth
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newcastle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Newcastle United.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Brentford
50.37% ( 0)	24.16% ( 0)	25.48% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 54.98% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.23% (

-0.01)

46.77% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.97% (

-0)

69.03% (

-0)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.4% (

-0)

18.61% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.11% (

-0)

49.89% (

-0)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.55% (

-0.01)

32.45% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.03% (

-0.01)

68.98% (

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 50.37%

Brentford 25.48%

Draw 24.15%

Newcastle United	Draw	Brentford
1-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 9.61% 2-0 @ 8.54% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.39% 3-0 @ 4.79% 3-2 @ 3.03% 4-1 @ 2.27% 4-0 @ 2.01% 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 50.37%	1-1 @ 11.42% 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.15%	0-1 @ 6.8% 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 25.48%