MX23RW : Tuesday, June 25 23:40:04| >> :60:329:329:
France national football team
European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 25, 2024 at 5pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Poland national football team

France
1 - 1
Poland

Mbappe (56' pen.)
Rabiot (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lewandowski (79' pen.)
Zalewski (24'), Probierz (53'), Dawidowicz (89'), Swiderski (90+2')

The Match

Match Report

France miss out on top spot in Group D after being held to a 1-1 draw by Poland despite Kylian Mbappe opening his account at the European Championship.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's European Championship clash between France and Poland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how France could line up for Tuesday's Euro 2024 clash with Poland at the Westfalenstadion.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Netherlands 0-0 France
Friday, June 21 at 8pm in European Championship
All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Poland 1-3 Austria
Friday, June 21 at 5pm in European Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a France win with a probability of 57.11%. A draw has a probability of 22.9% and a win for Poland has a probability of 20.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Poland win it is 0-1 (5.99%).

Result
FranceDrawPoland
57.11% (0.020999999999994 0.02) 22.88% (0.0030000000000001 0) 20.01% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.13% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.8% (-0.052 -0.05)47.19% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.57% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)69.42% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.71% (-0.012 -0.01)16.28% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.15% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)45.84% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.27% (-0.058 -0.06)37.73% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.49% (-0.055 -0.05)74.5% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    France 57.1%
    Poland 20.01%
    Draw 22.88%
FranceDrawPoland
1-0 @ 11.15% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.78% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.71% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.01%
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 57.1%
1-1 @ 10.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.14% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.88%
0-1 @ 5.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 5.3% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 20.01%

How you voted: France vs Poland

France
84.3%
Draw
9.7%
Poland
6.0%
586
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2022 3pm
Last 16
France
3-1
Poland
Giroud (44'), Mbappe (74', 90+1')
Lewandowski (90+9' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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