Euro 2024

European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 16, 2024 at 2pm UK

Volksparkstadion

Poland
vs.
Netherlands

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro 2024 clash between Poland and Netherlands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Poland could line up for Sunday's Euro 2024 clash with the Netherlands.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions

Last Game: Poland 2-1 Turkey
Monday, June 10 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	0	0	0
2	Netherlands	0	0	0
3	Poland	0	0	0
4	Austria	0	0	0

Netherlands

All competitions

Last Game: Netherlands 4-0 Iceland
Monday, June 10 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	0	0	0
2	Netherlands	0	0	0
3	Poland	0	0	0
4	Austria	0	0	0

We say: Poland 0-1 Netherlands

Both teams' plans have been undermined by absences, but they cannot afford to feel sorry for themselves, given the quality of their other Group D rivals. Though lacking a prolific striker, the Netherlands still have potential scorers all over the pitch, so they should make the most of Poland's injury woes and take three points from their opening match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Netherlands win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Poland has a probability of 27.34% and a draw has a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Poland win is 1-0 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.85%).

Result
Poland	Draw	Netherlands
27.34% ( -0.37)	24.97% ( 0.08)	47.68% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 53.99% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.14% (

-0.58)

48.85% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.05% (

-0.53)

70.94% (

0.52)

Poland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.93% (

-0.59)

32.07% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.46% (

-0.67)

68.54% (

0.67)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.47% (

-0.11)

20.52% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.98% (

-0.17)

53.02% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Poland 27.34%

Netherlands 47.68%

Draw 24.96%

Poland	Draw	Netherlands
1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.67% Total : 27.34%	1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.96%	0-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.36% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.69% Total : 47.68%