MX23RW : Monday, June 24 21:23:46| >> :60:112:112:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Croatia national football team
European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Italy national football team

Croatia
1 - 1
Italy

Modric (55')
Sucic (24'), Modric (60'), Ivanusec (73'), Pongracic (78'), Stanisic (82'), Brozovic (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zaccagni (90+8')
Calafiori (90+3'), Fagioli (90+6'), Spalletti (90+9')

The Match

Match Report

Italy strike in the last minute of added time to hold Croatia to a 1-1 draw and make the last 16 of Euro 2024, finishing second in Group B.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's European Championship clash between Croatia and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Croatia could line up for Monday's Euro 2024 clash with Italy.

Form, Standings, Stats

Croatia

All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Croatia 2-2 Albania
Wednesday, June 19 at 2pm in European Championship
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Spain246
2Italy203
3Albania2-11
4Croatia2-31

Italy

All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Spain 1-0 Italy
Thursday, June 20 at 8pm in European Championship
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Spain246
2Italy203
3Albania2-11
4Croatia2-31

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Italy win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Croatia has a probability of 36.78% and a draw has a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Croatia win is 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.04%).

Result
CroatiaDrawItaly
36.78% (0.154 0.15) 25.48% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 37.74% (-0.143 -0.14)
Both teams to score 56.05% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.14% (0.061 0.06)47.85% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.96% (0.056999999999999 0.06)70.03% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.6% (0.11200000000001 0.11)25.4% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.79% (0.157 0.16)60.2% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.13% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)24.87% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.52% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)59.47% (0.064 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Croatia 36.78%
    Italy 37.74%
    Draw 25.47%
CroatiaDrawItaly
1-0 @ 8.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.26% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.93% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.71% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 36.78%
1-1 @ 12.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.74% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 8.79% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.38% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.12% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.89% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 37.74%

How you voted: Croatia vs Italy

Croatia
21.6%
Draw
35.6%
Italy
42.8%
908
Head to Head
Jun 12, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Croatia
1-1
Italy
> Match Report
Nov 16, 2014 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Italy
1-1
Croatia
Candreva (11')
Immobile (46')
Perisic (15')
Kovacic (37'), Perisic (65')
> Match Report
Jun 14, 2012 5pm
Group Stage
Italy
1-1
Croatia
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
> Preview
 
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
> Preview
 
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
> Preview
 
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
> Preview
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
 
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
 
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
 
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
2nd Group B
 
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
 
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
 
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
 
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 1
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 2
Wednesday, July 10
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 3
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 4
Sunday, July 14
 
8pm
Final
Winner SF1
vs.
Winner SF2
> View full version> Results
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111
> European Championship 2024 overview


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