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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Poland national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
National Stadium
Netherlands national football team

Poland
0 - 2
Netherlands


Szczesny (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gakpo (13'), Bergwijn (60')
Ake (32'), Gakpo (61'), Janssen (82'), Weghorst (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Poland and Netherlands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Netherlands could line up for Thursday's Nations League clash with Poland.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Poland 0-1 Belgium
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Netherlands

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Netherlands 3-2 Wales
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Poland 1-2 Netherlands

 Both sides caused problems for one another the last time that they locked horns three months ago, and another closely-fought contest is to be expected on Thursday. Poland will fancy their chances with Lewandowski leading the line, but we can see Netherlands securing a slender victory, which could be enough to seal their place in the Nations League semi-finals if Belgium fail to beat Wales. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Poland had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Poland win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
PolandDrawNetherlands
26.76% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 23.55% (-0.168 -0.17) 49.7% (0.101 0.1)
Both teams to score 58.22% (0.645 0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.96% (0.824 0.82)43.04% (-0.821 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.56% (0.811 0.81)65.44% (-0.809 -0.81)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.52% (0.48399999999999 0.48)29.48% (-0.481 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.52% (0.586 0.59)65.48% (-0.58500000000001 -0.59)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.56% (0.351 0.35)17.44% (-0.349 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.1% (0.60899999999999 0.61)47.9% (-0.605 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Poland 26.76%
    Netherlands 49.7%
    Draw 23.54%
PolandDrawNetherlands
2-1 @ 6.7% (0.014 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.28% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-0 @ 3.84% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.73% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.56% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 26.76%
1-1 @ 10.96% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.078 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.14% (-0.188 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.54%
1-2 @ 9.58% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-1 @ 8.98% (-0.224 -0.22)
0-2 @ 7.84% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-3 @ 5.57% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.56% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.41% (0.084 0.08)
1-4 @ 2.43% (0.055 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.99% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.49% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 49.7%

How you voted: Poland vs Netherlands

Poland
24.9%
Draw
12.9%
Netherlands
62.1%
317
Head to Head
Jun 11, 2022 7.45pm
League A4
Netherlands
2-2
Poland
Klaassen (51'), Dumfries (54')
Berghuis (59'), Bergwijn (63'), de Jong (86')
Cash (18'), Zielinski (49')
Krychowiak (16'), Bednarek (20'), Skorupski (63'), Zielinski (83'), Zurkowski (86')
Nov 18, 2020 7.45pm
League A1
Poland
1-2
Netherlands
Jozwiak (6')
Krychowiak (14'), Bednarek (77'), Jozwiak (82')
Depay (77' pen.), Wijnaldum (84')
Sep 4, 2020 7.45pm
League A1
Netherlands
1-0
Poland
Bergwijn (61')
de Roon (71'), Depay (74'), de Jong (89')

Piatek (21'), Klich (33'), Jozwiak (56'), Glik (63'), Bednarek (90+1')
Jun 1, 2016 7.45pm
Poland
1-2
Netherlands
Jedrzejczyk (60')
Lewandowksi (63')
Janssen (33'), Wijnaldum (76')
Wijnaldum (63')
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