Friendlies 1

Mar 22, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria

Ecuador
2 - 0
Guatemala

Yeboah (8'), Plata (86')
Franco (85'), Plata (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Ecuador and Guatemala, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ecuador

All competitions

Last Game: Ecuador 1-0 Chile
Tuesday, November 21 at 11.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Guatemala

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Guatemala 0-1 Iceland
Sunday, January 14 at 12am in International Friendlies

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	4	7	10
2	Trinidad and Tobago	4	1	9
3	Martinique	4	-1	7
4	Guatemala	4	-2	4
5	Curacao	4	-1	3
6	El Salvador	4	-4	1

We said: Ecuador 1-0 Guatemala

Ecuador have shown tremendous discipline defensively so far in their World Cup qualifying campaign and have done equally well in close games. In contrast, the Guatemalans are struggling to find consistency throughout a 90-minute contest, which is why we are giving the South Americans the edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 57.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 17.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.45%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ecuador would win this match.

Result
Ecuador	Draw	Guatemala
57.27% ( -0.24)	25.53% ( 0.21)	17.19% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 40.23% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.41% (

-0.65)

60.58% (

0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.31% (

-0.5)

80.68% (

0.5)

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.72% (

-0.36)

21.28% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.79% (

-0.56)

54.21% (

0.56)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.11% (

-0.36)

48.88% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.12% (

-0.26)

83.87% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Ecuador 57.26%

Guatemala 17.19%

Draw 25.53%

Ecuador	Draw	Guatemala
1-0 @ 16.09% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 12.45% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.87% Total : 57.26%	1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.42% Total : 25.53%	0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.98% Total : 17.19%