Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Belgium had a probability of 37.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Belgium win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.