World Cup | Group Stage
Nov 27, 2022 at 4pm UK
Croatia
4 - 1
Canada
The Match
Match Report
Croatia record a 4-1 win over Canada at the Khalifa International Stadium to eliminate the Maple Leafs from the World Cup.
Team News
Zlatko Dalic makes just one change to his Croatia XI for Sunday's fixture with Canada at the Khalifa International Stadium.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup clash between Croatia and Canada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Croatia could line up for Sunday's World Cup 2022 Group F clash with Canada.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
World Cup
Last Game: Morocco 0-0 Croatia
Wednesday, November 23 at 10am in World Cup
Wednesday, November 23 at 10am in World Cup
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Belgium | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Croatia | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Morocco | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Canada | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Canada had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Canada win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Croatia | Draw | Canada |
37.78% ( -0.04) | 27.27% ( 0.04) | 34.96% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 50% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
