Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Wales had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Wales win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.