Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for France had a probability of 38.7% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (4.93%) and 3-2 (4.6%). The likeliest France win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.