Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.