Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 58.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 19.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.04%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Hebei win it was 1-0 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shenzhen in this match.
