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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
Rabobank IJmond Stadion
Telstar
5 - 3
MVV
Giousis (20'), Smit (28', 34', 49'), Plet (87')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Steuckers (24'), Kostons (56'), Van Helden (60')
Van Helden (51')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Telstar and MVV Maastricht.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dordrecht 0-0 Telstar
Saturday, January 21 at 3.30pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 2-1 MVV
Friday, January 13 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 50.72%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 0-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.

Result
TelstarDrawMVV Maastricht
50.72% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 24.36%24.92% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 53.76% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.88% (0.033000000000001 0.03)48.12% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.72% (0.032 0.03)70.28% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Telstar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)18.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.47% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)50.53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.36% (0.057000000000002 0.06)33.64% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.71% (0.063000000000002 0.06)70.29% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Telstar 50.72%
    MVV Maastricht 24.92%
    Draw 24.36%
TelstarDrawMVV Maastricht
1-0 @ 10.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.82% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.03% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 50.72%
1-1 @ 11.56%
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.36%
0-1 @ 6.96% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.3% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.0039999999999998 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 24.92%

How you voted: Telstar vs MVV

Telstar
50.0%
Draw
28.6%
MVV Maastricht
21.4%
14
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2022 7pm
Telstar
2-1
MVV
Plet (8'), Aktas (26')
Molenaar (73'), Smit (90+1')
Essers (90+1')
Essers (45+2'), Dzepar (45+2'), Zeegers (63'), Delferriere (75'), Mami (90+3')
Sep 5, 2021 1.30pm
MVV
3-0
Telstar
Remans (13', 22'), Blummel (39')
Kleinen (11'), Zeegers (34')

Kokcu (54')
Feb 26, 2021 5.45pm
MVV
2-0
Telstar
Surmeli (50'), Angiulli (90+5')
Surmeli (54')

van Wetten (18'), Adshead (48'), F (86'), Pattynama (90+1')
Sep 13, 2020 7pm
Telstar
1-2
MVV
Plet (64')
Vandermeulen (42')
Duin (42' pen.), Kostons (89')
Heerings (52'), Lathouwers (90+7')
Feb 21, 2020 7pm
Telstar
2-1
MVV
Kharchouch (53', 79')
Bronkhorst (11'), Korpershoek (44')
Van den Hurk (12' pen.)
Schroyen (59'), Martina (82'), Kot (88'), van den Hurk (90')
Martina (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
3Willem II371910866382867
4Almere CityAlmere City372071057411667
5MVV MaastrichtMVV37185146564159
6NAC BredaNAC Breda37185146362159
7VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo37169125550557
8FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven37169125753457
9Jong AZJong AZ37149146056451
10TelstarTelstar371311133751-1450
11De GraafschapDe Graafschap37147166154749
12ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag371212134957-848
13Jong AjaxJong Ajax371210156970-146
14Jong PSVJong PSV37128175862-444
15Helmond SportHelmond371110163754-1743
16Roda JC37126194757-1042
17TOP OssOss37106214374-3136
18Den BoschDen Bosch37105224682-3635
19Dordrecht3797213966-2734
20Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht3776243264-3227

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