Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.63%) and 2-0 (4.98%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
40.67% (![]() | 22.44% (![]() | 36.88% (![]() |
Both teams to score 67.47% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.94% (![]() | 33.06% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.21% (![]() | 54.79% (![]() |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.96% (![]() | 17.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.81% (![]() | 47.19% (![]() |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.33% (![]() | 18.67% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.99% (![]() | 50.01% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 8.36% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.63% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.98% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.93% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.14% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 3.35% Total : 40.67% | 1-1 @ 9.45% (![]() 2-2 @ 7.02% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.32% ( ![]() Other @ 0.49% Total : 22.44% | 1-2 @ 7.93% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.34% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.48% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.43% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.92% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.51% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.86% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.05% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.75% Total : 36.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 55 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 44 |
3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 42 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 38 |
6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 |
7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 32 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 30 |
9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 |
12 | Macarthur | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
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