

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 38.67% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (4.99%) and 3-1 (4.82%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 39.35% ( | 21.98% ( | 38.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 69.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.49% ( | 30.51% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.19% ( | 51.8% ( |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.49% ( | 16.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.77% ( | 46.23% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.21% ( | 16.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.26% ( | 46.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 1-0 @ 4.99% ( 3-1 @ 4.82% ( 2-0 @ 4.49% ( 3-2 @ 4.3% 3-0 @ 2.7% ( 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 4-2 @ 1.94% ( 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 4-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 3.55% Total : 39.35% | 1-1 @ 8.9% ( 2-2 @ 7.16% ( 0-0 @ 2.77% ( 3-3 @ 2.56% ( Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.98% | 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0-1 @ 4.94% ( 1-3 @ 4.73% ( 0-2 @ 4.41% ( 2-3 @ 4.26% ( 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 1-4 @ 2.11% ( 2-4 @ 1.9% ( 0-4 @ 1.17% ( 3-4 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 3.43% Total : 38.67% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 55 |
| 2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 42 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 41 |
| 5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 38 |
| 6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 |
| 7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 32 |
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 30 |
| 9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
| 11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Macarthur | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
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