

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Western United had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.53%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Western United | 
| 47.07% ( | 22.36% ( | 30.57% ( | 
| Both teams to score 65.44% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 65.22% ( | 34.78% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 43.26% ( | 56.74% ( | 
| Adelaide United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 84.71% ( | 15.29% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.99% ( | 44.01% ( | 
| Western United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.26% ( | 22.74% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.58% ( | 56.42% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Adelaide United | Draw | Western United | 
| 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 1-0 @ 6.53% ( 2-0 @ 6.13% ( 3-1 @ 5.68% ( 3-2 @ 4.21% ( 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 4-1 @ 2.67% ( 4-2 @ 1.98% ( 4-0 @ 1.8% ( 5-1 @ 1% ( 4-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 3.17% Total : 47.07%  | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0-0 @ 3.48% ( 3-3 @ 2.08% ( Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.36%  | 1-2 @ 7.16% ( 0-1 @ 5.15% ( 0-2 @ 3.81% ( 1-3 @ 3.54% ( 2-3 @ 3.32% ( 0-3 @ 1.88% ( 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 2-4 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 3.17% Total : 30.57%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 55 | 
| 2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 44 | 
| 3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 42 | 
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 41 | 
| 5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 38 | 
| 6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 | 
| 7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 32 | 
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 30 | 
| 9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 | 
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 | 
| 11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 | 
| 12 | Macarthur | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 | 
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