

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 38%. A win for Western United had a probability of 36.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Western United win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brisbane Roar in this match.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Western United |
| 38% ( | 25.42% ( | 36.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.23% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.38% ( | 47.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.18% ( | 69.82% ( |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.38% ( | 24.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.87% ( | 59.12% ( |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.59% ( | 25.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.78% ( | 60.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Western United |
| 1-0 @ 8.77% ( 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 2-0 @ 6.15% ( 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 3-0 @ 2.87% ( 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 4-2 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.01% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 3-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 8.57% ( 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0-2 @ 5.87% ( 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0-3 @ 2.68% ( 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 2-4 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 1.72% Total : 36.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Auckland FC | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 47 |
| 2 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 43 |
| 3 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 41 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 39 |
| 5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 39 |
| 6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 34 |
| 7 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 33 |
| 8 | Macarthur | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 32 |
| 9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 29 |
| 10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 25 |
| 11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 24 |
| 12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 14 |
| 13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 55 | -35 | 14 |
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