Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Central Coast Mariners in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Central Coast Mariners.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 36.13% ( | 24.78% ( | 39.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.31% ( | 44.68% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.95% ( | 67.05% ( |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.71% ( | 24.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.33% ( | 58.67% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.26% ( | 22.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.59% ( | 56.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 1-0 @ 7.82% ( 2-0 @ 5.53% ( 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 3-0 @ 2.61% ( 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 4-0 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.96% Total : 36.13% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 3-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.77% | 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0-1 @ 8.18% ( 0-2 @ 6.06% ( 1-3 @ 4.23% ( 2-3 @ 3% ( 0-3 @ 2.99% ( 1-4 @ 1.57% ( 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0-4 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.27% Total : 39.09% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 47 | 25 | 22 | 41 |
| 2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 40 |
| 3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 34 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 34 |
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 31 |
| 6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 28 |
| 7 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 27 |
| 8 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
| 9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 25 |
| 10 | Macarthur | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 25 |
| 11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 24 |
| 12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 23 |
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