Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
33.84% (![]() | 25.06% (![]() | 41.1% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.06% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.64% (![]() | 46.36% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.35% (![]() | 68.65% (![]() |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.6% (![]() | 26.4% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.44% (![]() | 61.56% (![]() |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.53% (![]() | 22.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.98% (![]() | 56.03% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
1-0 @ 7.9% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.86% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.26% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.49% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 3.23% Total : 33.84% | 1-1 @ 11.79% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.93% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.86% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 8.86% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.8% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.61% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.38% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 24 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 18 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 17 |
9 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 15 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 13 |
11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 8 |
12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |