Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 35.06% ( | 24.9% ( | 40.04% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.61% ( | 45.38% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.28% ( | 67.72% ( |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.78% ( | 25.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.04% ( | 59.96% ( |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.43% ( | 22.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.83% ( | 56.17% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 2-0 @ 5.4% ( 3-1 @ 3.69% ( 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 3-0 @ 2.48% ( 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 4-2 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 35.06% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 3-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9% | 1-2 @ 8.69% ( 0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0-2 @ 6.31% ( 1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0-3 @ 3.13% ( 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0-4 @ 1.16% ( 2-4 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 40.04% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 37 |
| 2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 31 |
| 3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 31 |
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 27 |
| 7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 24 |
| 8 | Macarthur | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 22 |
| 10 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 20 |
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 20 |
| 12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 18 |
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