Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 39.05% ( | 24.33% ( | 36.62% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.46% ( | 42.54% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.06% ( | 64.94% ( |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.19% ( | 21.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.97% ( | 55.03% ( |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.95% ( | 23.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.13% ( | 56.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 1-0 @ 7.66% ( 2-0 @ 5.83% ( 3-1 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 3-0 @ 2.96% ( 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 4-0 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 39.05% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 3-3 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.33% | 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0-1 @ 7.38% ( 0-2 @ 5.41% ( 1-3 @ 4.03% ( 2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0-3 @ 2.65% ( 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 36.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 31 |
| 2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 24 |
| 3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 21 |
| 6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
| 7 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 19 |
| 8 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 18 |
| 9 | Macarthur | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 18 |
| 10 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 16 |
| 11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 16 |
| 12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 14 |
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