Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Western United had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Macarthur |
30.31% (![]() | 24.22% (![]() | 45.47% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.51% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.18% | 43.82% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.79% (![]() | 66.21% (![]() |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.62% (![]() | 27.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.15% (![]() | 62.85% (![]() |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.57% (![]() | 19.43% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.74% (![]() | 51.26% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 7.31% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.89% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.46% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.16% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.95% Total : 30.31% | 1-1 @ 11.29% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.99% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.32% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.41% ( ![]() Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 9.25% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.72% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.14% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.05% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.9% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.27% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.34% ( ![]() Other @ 3.14% Total : 45.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 23 |
2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 21 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
5 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 |
6 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 17 |
7 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 15 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 14 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 13 |
11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 8 |
12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |