Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.